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Full or part-time Voter Registration work opportunity ($15/hr)

2020.09.17 17:58 TheOutreachTeam Full or part-time Voter Registration work opportunity ($15/hr)

Community Canvasser - Voter Registration
Pay: $15/hr, full-time or part-time
Start Date: Immediately
Help register college students to vote and fight against gun violence!
Are you passionate about promoting democracy and want to help everyone participate in this election and beyond? We are currently seeking Voter Registration Canvassers to join us on an important and exciting non-partisan campaign with Everytown for Gun Safety to help college students register to vote and help elect leaders that will end gun violence in America. With extensive training and health and safety protocols, we are able to do this important work while keeping ourselves and our communities safe. We provide all of the Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) you will need!
Apply here: https://www.theoutreachteam.net/apply-hourly
We are hiring immediately. These positions will run through the October registration deadline, with opportunities to potentially extend through the Election and beyond. Learn more about The Outreach Team and our core values clicking these links.
Locations: Ann Arbor, MI; State College & Pittsburgh, PA; Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC
Canvasser Responsibilities ($15/hr):
-Assist people in carefully and correctly registering to vote
-Engage with people in a friendly and professional manner
-Strictly follow the campaign's safety protocols, including the use of PPE and compliance with daily health and safety guidelines
-Familiarize yourself with state registration laws and statutes, and comply with all applicable legal requirements and processes for registering voters
The ideal candidate is:
-Charismatic, energetic, and passionate about voting rights and the importance of voter registration
-Customer service skills; you should enjoy working with other people and be willing to speak with everyone
-Goal-oriented, determined, motivated, and able to see the bigger picture
Prior experience with voter registration or other canvassing operations is a plus but not required.
Pay and Benefits: $15 per hour, training is paid and we also offer sick pay. Health insurance is an option for all full-time staff (30+hours). At the end of the campaign, there may be opportunities for advancement.
Apply here: https://www.theoutreachteam.net/apply-hourly
We proudly prioritize equity and inclusion. We are an equal opportunity employer and we strongly encourage Black, indigenous, people of color, women, people with previous nonviolent felony convictions, members of the LGBTQIA+ community, and others who identify with underrepresented groups to apply.
submitted by TheOutreachTeam to AnnArbor [link] [comments]


2020.09.17 17:36 TheOutreachTeam Pittsburgh Voter Registration Outreach Staff - hiring immediately ($15/hr, full & part-time)

Community Canvasser - Voter Registration
Pay: $15/hr, full-time or part-time
Start Date: Immediately
Help register college students to vote and fight against gun violence!
Are you passionate about promoting democracy and want to help everyone participate in this election and beyond? We are currently seeking Voter Registration Canvassers to join us on an important and exciting non-partisan campaign with Everytown for Gun Safety to help college students register to vote and help elect leaders that will end gun violence in America. With extensive training and health and safety protocols, we are able to do this important work while keeping ourselves and our communities safe. We provide all of the Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) you will need!
Apply here: https://www.theoutreachteam.net/apply-hourly
We are hiring immediately. These positions will run through the October registration deadline, with opportunities to potentially extend through the Election and beyond. Learn more about The Outreach Team and our core values clicking these links.
Locations: Ann Arbor, MI; State College & Pittsburgh, PA; Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC
Canvasser Responsibilities ($15/hr):
-Assist people in carefully and correctly registering to vote
-Engage with people in a friendly and professional manner
-Strictly follow the campaign's safety protocols, including the use of PPE and compliance with daily health and safety guidelines
-Familiarize yourself with state registration laws and statutes, and comply with all applicable legal requirements and processes for registering voters
The ideal candidate is:
-Charismatic, energetic, and passionate about voting rights and the importance of voter registration
-Customer service skills; you should enjoy working with other people and be willing to speak with everyone
-Goal-oriented, determined, motivated, and able to see the bigger picture
Prior experience with voter registration or other canvassing operations is a plus but not required.
Pay and Benefits: $15 per hour, training is paid and we also offer sick pay. Health insurance is an option for all full-time staff (30+hours). At the end of the campaign, there may be opportunities for advancement.
Apply here: https://www.theoutreachteam.net/apply-hourly
We proudly prioritize equity and inclusion. We are an equal opportunity employer and we strongly encourage Black, indigenous, people of color, women, people with previous nonviolent felony convictions, members of the LGBTQIA+ community, and others who identify with underrepresented groups to apply.
submitted by TheOutreachTeam to pittsburghjobs [link] [comments]


2020.09.17 17:32 TheOutreachTeam Voter Registration Outreach Staff - hiring immediately ($15/hr, full & part-time)

Community Canvasser - Voter Registration
Pay: $15/hr, full-time or part-time
Start Date: Immediately
Help register college students to vote and fight against gun violence!
Are you passionate about promoting democracy and want to help everyone participate in this election and beyond? We are currently seeking Voter Registration Canvassers to join us on an important and exciting non-partisan campaign with Everytown for Gun Safety to help college students register to vote and help elect leaders that will end gun violence in America. With extensive training and health and safety protocols, we are able to do this important work while keeping ourselves and our communities safe. We provide all of the Personal Protective Equipment (PPE) you will need!
Apply here: https://www.theoutreachteam.net/apply-hourly
We are hiring immediately. These positions will run through the October registration deadline, with opportunities to potentially extend through the Election and beyond. Learn more about The Outreach Team and our core values clicking these links.
Locations: Ann Arbor, MI; State College & Pittsburgh, PA; Raleigh/Durham/Chapel Hill, NC
Canvasser Responsibilities ($15/hr):
-Assist people in carefully and correctly registering to vote
-Engage with people in a friendly and professional manner
-Strictly follow the campaign's safety protocols, including the use of PPE and compliance with daily health and safety guidelines
-Familiarize yourself with state registration laws and statutes, and comply with all applicable legal requirements and processes for registering voters
The ideal candidate is:
-Charismatic, energetic, and passionate about voting rights and the importance of voter registration
-Customer service skills; you should enjoy working with other people and be willing to speak with everyone
-Goal-oriented, determined, motivated, and able to see the bigger picture
Prior experience with voter registration or other canvassing operations is a plus but not required.
Pay and Benefits: $15 per hour, training is paid and we also offer sick pay. Health insurance is an option for all full-time staff (30+hours). At the end of the campaign, there may be opportunities for advancement.
Apply here: https://www.theoutreachteam.net/apply-hourly
We proudly prioritize equity and inclusion. We are an equal opportunity employer and we strongly encourage Black, indigenous, people of color, women, people with previous nonviolent felony convictions, members of the LGBTQIA+ community, and others who identify with underrepresented groups to apply.
submitted by TheOutreachTeam to trianglejobs [link] [comments]


2020.09.15 14:26 thespoonandknife racial restrictive covenants in Raleigh?

Can anyone point me towards a resource about the history of racial restrictive covenants in the city? I'm specifically looking for information on whether there was a time period when they went out of fashion, how common they were, where they were in place, and if there was ever a city law that removed them from the books. Would also appreciate any information on what might be required to research and potentially remove from the books standing racial restrictive covenants. If you don't know what I'm talking about, here's a description and here's an example from Raleigh (eighth covenant).
submitted by thespoonandknife to raleigh [link] [comments]


2020.09.14 18:35 CFB_Referee Hurricane Sally

Sally remains a hurricane and is moving slowly.

From the latest public advisory (as of 9/16 11:30 AM ET) Sally is likely to cause issues with rainfall, storm surge, surf, wind tornados, and flooding - including potential inland flooding.
Check your local weather or emergency management agency for more specific information where you are.
 
Please look to local news, local weather, and local and state emergency management agencies to find out more about how you may be affected, if you need to evacuate, and steps on getting prepared. Please everyone stay safe.
 
U Forecasts, Predictions, and Watches/Warnings
 
Tulsa Preparedness & Planning
College students should check out their university's emergency alert system - if you're not signed up to get notices, you should!
Useful links on: hurricane preparedness, emergency kits, emergency supplies for your car.
 
Louisburg Other things worth thinking about or getting:
  • General: A cooler. Fun/mental health stuff - books, games, etc. Cash. Weather radio and batteries. Flashlights > candles. Backup cell phone, laptop, or other batteries. Extra water. Hand sanitizer. Comfort items (a toddler's blankie, the puppy's favorite toy, your grandpa's watch you can't imagine losing).
  • Specialized: Transportation and assistive devices (think especially about children, pets, the elderly, people with disabilities).
  • Cars: Gas. Window breakeseatbelt cutter.
 
Gattaca Florida Safety:
  • Check your smoke detector and carbon monoxide detector batteries!
  • Watch out for downed power lines. Never assume it is dead. Avoid it.
  • Assume floodwaters are deeper than they look. Turn around, don't drown.
  • Learn your flood and evacuation zones!
  • Food safety from the FDA and USDA.
  • If your home floods and you need to go up, head for the roof. Keep an ax in your attic to get out that way if you need it.
  • Be aware of potential 911 delays.
  • Evacuate! If you can, check on people you know to see if they need help evacuating if you can offer it or put them in touch with someone who can.
 
Hertfordshire Documentation:
  • Bring it with you.
  • Store it in a plastic bag to they are together and stay dry.
  • House deed/rental agreement/lease.
  • Insurance information (home, car, renters, medical, flood).
  • Identification (ID card/driver's license, passport, Social Security card, marriage/birth certificates).
  • Take photographs of your home before you evacuate and when you return. Good documentation of the damage may help if you need to file an aid or insurance claim.
 
For long-term preparedness, check out CERT training information.
 
Holland Evacuation
College Information
We'll be updating this list as we get information.
 
/CFB Ball Alabama
University Update Sources
Bishop State Community College All remote learning on Monday and Tuesday. All events cancelled Monday and Tuesday. 7
Coastal Alabama Community College Closses at 2 PM on Monday. In person classes closed through Wendesday. Online classes continue to meet. 5
Spring Hill College Classes cancelled after 1:30 PM on Monday. Classes online on Tuesday. 5
University of Mobile Move to all online instruction as of 1:30 PM Monday. Normal classes resume Wendesday. 5
South Alabama University of South Alabama Classes, events, and activities canceled Tuesday and Wednesday. 16
 
/CFB Ball Florida
University Update Sources
Gulf Coast State College All campuses closed Tuesday. 11
Northwest Florida State College Closed through Tuesday. 13
Pensacola State College All campuses closed Monday and Tuesday. 7, 17
West Florida University of West Florida All classes - in person and online - cancelled through Thursday. 18
 
/CFB Ball Louisiana
University Update Sources
Delgado Community College Online classes only on Monday and Tuesday. 8, 19
Loyola Operating normally until 4 PM on Monday. Classes canceled Tuesday. Classes resume Wednesday. 2, 20
New Orleans Theological Seminary/Leavell College Closed Monday-Wednesday. 8
Nicholls Nicholls State All classes online Monday-Wednesday. 4
Northshore Technical Community College Online on Monday. Closed on Tuesday. Decision on Wednesday pending. 8, 21
Nunez College Online classes continue. In person classes cancelled Monday and Tuesday. 8
Southeastern Louisiana Southeastern University All classes online on Monday. All classes cancelled on Tuesday. 14
Southern Southern University Normal operations on Tuesday. 9, 22
Tulane Tulane In person and online classes canceled after noon on Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday classes TBD. 1
Holy Cross University of Holy Cross Closed Monday and Tuesday. 8
University of New Orleans Classes all online on Monday. In person, online, and hybrid classes canceled on Tuesday. 3
Xavier University Classes online after 5 PM Monday. Classes cancelled Tuesday. 8
 
/CFB Ball Mississippi
University Update Sources
Jones County JC Jones College All classes online through Wednesday. 12
Mississippi Gulf Coast CC Mississippi Gulf Coast Community College All classes online starting Monday at noon and Tuesday. 10
Southern Miss University of Southern Mississippi - Gulf Coast Locations All classes and events moved online starting at noon on Monday. 15
 
/CFB Ball South Carolina
If you know of any of these, please let us know.
University Update Sources
 
/CFB Ball North Carolina
If you know of any of these, please let us know.
University Update Sources
 
/CFB Ball Virginia
If you know of any of these, please let us know.
University Update Sources
Sources
1, 2, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14, 15, 16, 17, 18, 19, 20, 21, 22
 
Touchdown Game Information Penalty Flag
We'll be updating this list as we get information.
This list includes all games played with teams in affected states. Many may not be affected, but given the ripple effects of things like travel and the particular complications of scheduling this season, we've listed them all here for reference.
Date Time Home Team Away Team Game Location
9/18 7:30 PM ET Coastal Carolina Campbell Conway, SC
9/19 12:00 PM ET Georgia State Louisiana Atlanta, GA
9/19 12:00 PM ET Tulane Navy New Orleans, LA
9/19 12:00 PM ET Duke Boston College Durham, NC
9/19 2:30 PM ET Notre Dame USF South Bend, IN
9/19 3:30 PM ET Georgia Tech UCF Atlanta, GA
9/19 3:30 PM ET Georgia Southern FAU Statesboro, GA
9/19 3:30 PM ET UNC Charlotte Chapel Hill, NC
9/19 4:00 PM ET Middle Tennessee Troy Murfreesboro, TN
9/19 4:00 PM ET Clemson The Citadel Clemson, SC
9/19 7:30 PM ET ULM Texas State Monroe, LA
9/19 7:30 PM ET Louisville Miami (FL) Louisville, KY
9/19 7:30 PM ET Southern Miss Louisiana Tech Hattiesburg, MS
9/19 8:00 PM ET NC State Wake Forest Raleigh, NC
 
Learn More
submitted by CFB_Referee to CFB [link] [comments]


2020.09.13 22:49 MountainsMan55 WVU acknowledges 'unfortunate' timing of fee deadline followed by shift to virtual classes

At West Virginia University, payment for fall charges was due Sept. 1. Less than a week later, on Sept. 7, WVU announced that most classes would move online because of a rising number of coronavirus cases on campus and effects on the surrounding community. Later that day, WVU said, “There will be no refunds at this time, as class instruction is being delivered, and residence halls and dining services will function as normal.” Did the university wait to move on this obvious growing problem until cementing its financial position this fall? April Kaull No, said April Kaull, WVU’s executive director of communications. “This has been our consistent position and while the timing was admittedly unfortunate in this case, we have been transparent throughout our planning that if we determined the local public health situation was deteriorating, the university would take swift and immediate action,” Kaull said. “That’s what we did.” The university has emphasized that it intends to make the shift to online learning temporary, with plans to reassess on Sept. 23. Rob Alsop “This is not a glide path towards going online for the rest of the semester,” said Rob Alsop, the university’s vice president for strategic initiatives, during an online campus conversation last week. “It is our goal to get back to in-class instruction.” Still, the narrow window between the final due date for payment and the university’s announcement that it would go virtual stirred up families who posted on the Mountaineer Parents Club page on Facebook. “When will WVU refund at LEAST part of the students’ fees per credit hr now that they r receiving an online education instead of the IN PERSON education they’ve paid for?!” asked one mother. A father from New Jersey objected to paying out-of-state tuition for virtual classes. “My son has 2 classes that aren’t even a Zoom class,” he wrote. “There is No teacher instruction the work is just posted online and he is expected to figure it out. What are we paying for?” Others were more understanding of WVU’s position. “Your child is paying for a DEGREE from WVU regardless of how it is taught,” said one commenter. “And if you thought this year would go without hiccups you are very naïve.” WVU took some measures entering this highly-unusual year to balance financial considerations with the uncertainty of the coronavirus pandemic. Jaron Bragg The university’s actions have been appropriate considering the challenges, said Jaron Bragg, vice president of the student body. “I feel like there’s no right way here. I feel like WVU did what they thought was best,” said Jaron Bragg, the student body vice president. In July, President Gordon Gee announced that the return to campus would be phased, starting with freshmen and graduate students. Most upper-level undergraduate students are expected to return to campus at a later, undetermined date. WVU also announced in late July that payment deadlines would be delayed to Sept. 1 so students would have more time to plan. Also, students moving from in-person courses to receiving all courses in an online format were being charged $220 in student fees, which is $440 less than the standard fee amount. The university says it recognizes that these students are studying remotely while other students will be studying on campus. “Yes, I can see where someone might think it’s fishy that classes had gone online temporarily for the next two weeks right after fees were due. But at some point you have to pay, and WVU had already pushed that back,” said Bragg, a junior from Shady Spring, Raleigh County. Bragg, who lives in his fraternity house, knew he would be taking classes online anyway. “It’s a very, very different experience than, I guess, what your normal college student would be used to,” he said. Starting the year with some students in classrooms was worth a try, he said, but matters grew worse when some students were accused of flouting the university’s coronavirus guidelines. “That’s what ultimately led to Gee’s letter that took courses online,” Bragg said. “If those wouldn’t have happened we would still be going on that hybrid schedule.” MORE: In pandemic year, far more WVU students face stiff punishment for breaking rules. On Sept. 1, the same day final payments were due, photographs circulated on social media of young people in long lines for Morgantown bars. Few appeared to be keeping their distance or wearing masks. Then, last Sunday, Sept. 6, the university announced 29 students would be suspended after their participation in off-campus parties where covid-19 precautions were not followed. The next day, Labor Day, WVU announced it would temporarily shift most undergraduate courses online. As all that happened, the number of positive tests among students rose sharply. That’s in part a reflection of who was being tested. At first, covid tests were administered broadly to returning students, faculty and staff. But more recently, the tests have been given to students exhibiting covid symptoms or believed to have been exposed to the virus. By that standard, those tests are more likely to come back positive — and that has been the case. In the days leading up to WVU’s decision to go virtual: 15.72 percent of students tested positive on Sept. 4; 12.7 percent on Sept. 5; 12.9 percent on Sept. 6; and 17.02 percent on Sept. 7. Those figures were accompanied by a rising number of isolations for students who were awaiting virus tests results and quarantines for students who were suspected to have come into contact with a virus carrier. Meanwhile, a map depicting the spread of virus in West Virginia counties categorized Monongalia County — where WVU is located — as red. That meant local K-12 schools had to go online and extracurricular activities were shelved right as the new year was supposed to begin. “We need to get the situation cooled down. We need to do it for our own health, our own safety. And we need to do it for our K-12 community,” Alsop said last week. But some of the questions Alsop and other university leaders faced during last week’s virtual campus conversation focused on what’s fair financially while the university delivers instruction in a nontraditional way. In one, Alsop was asked about students who were asked not to return to campus as a precaution after traveling on Labor Day Weekend. “Will there be some sort of pro-rated adjustment for housing and meals?” No, Alsop said. “We are not going to do some sort of proration for housing and meal plans. We are fully staffed with all of those options at this point. In addition, we really had indicated we really did not want students to travel during the course of the semester. “We know there are some students who did that, and while it’s really not a punishment for leaving, we indicated we wanted folks to stay on campus to avoid spread. So if a student did go home and decided to stay home during this two-week period of time, that was their choice. We’re not considering proration or refunds at this point.”
https://wvmetronews.com/2020/09/13/at-wvu-fees-were-due-sept-1-less-than-a-week-later-university-announced-shift-online/
submitted by MountainsMan55 to highereducation [link] [comments]


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2020.08.28 19:18 IdolA28Augl Its G-ay Millionaire Da-ting Nh

Its G-ay Millionaire Da-ting Nh
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2020.08.28 18:09 HaulA28Augl Top Ten G-ay S-ex Da-ting New

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2020.08.20 03:00 portlane Lawrence Blus (Dec. 23, 1933 - July 2, 2020)

Lawrence J. Blus
Dec. 23, 1933 - July 2, 2020
Lawrence "Larry" John Blus of Portland passed away Thursday, July 2, 2020 in Portland. He was 86. Larry was born Dec. 23, 1933 in Tilden, Ill., to Frank Blus and Anna Lentkis Blus, Larry was one of eight children: Anne (Pete) Novack; Mary (Louis) Luketich; Frank, Jr. (Willa) Blus; Joe (Jane) Blus; Bill (Dorothy) Blus; Ray (Betty) Blus; Barbara Jean (Mervil) Franklin. Larry was preceded in death by his parents; and all siblings and their spouses except for his sister, Barbara Jean Franklin of Fairview Heights, Ill. Nieces and nephews (deceased): Gloria Jean Novack, Jamie Luketich Jr., Andrew Blus, and Lucille Luketich. Surviving nieces and nephews: Cindy (Steve) Meyer, Debi Jo (Roger) Urbani, Joyce (Kenny) Clare, Jill (Jim) Webb, Joni Blus, Paul (Ann) Luketich, Louie Luketich, Dr. James (Christine) Luketich, Dennis (Julia)Franklin, Evelyn Franklin, and many great and great-great nieces and nephews survive Larry.
Larry is survived by his wife; three children; and three grandchildren. Larry married Donna Darlene (Weil) Blus, April 25, 1964 in North Platte, Neb. The couple celebrated their 50th anniversary in 2014 by renewing their vows. They were married 56 years.
Larry and Donna have three children: Denise (Kevin) Cossa Tigard, Ore.; Emily (Kenneth) Tantare Portland; and Daniel Blus Salem, Ore. Larry is survived by grandchildren: Sarah Tantare Seattle, Wash.; Julia Tantare Portland; and Caitlin Cossa Tigard, Ore.
Larry attended Tilden Illinois Elementary and graduated from Marissa Illinois Township High School, Class of 1951. He served in the U.S. Army from 1953-1955, earning the rank of corporal. He moved on to college, receiving a Bachelor of Science degree from Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, Ill., in 1959; followed by a Master's degree in 1963.
Larry joined the Army during the Korean War and used the GI bill to enroll at Southern Illinois University where he became the first person in the Blus family to get a college education. Immediately after he obtained his bachelor's degree, he studied and got his master's degree. He used these degrees in Zoology and Botany to study birds, working for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service as a leading biologist researching how DDE and DDT affected the eggshells of brown pelicans. He was published in countless books and papers and testified before Congress against the use of certain toxic pesticides that eventually contributed to restrictions on the use of DDT. He published nearly 100 papers in scientific journals and chapters in scientific books.
Larry began his professional work experience as a research biologist for the Nebraska Fish & Game Commission 1963-1966. He worked as a wildlife research biologist 31 years for U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service from 1966-1997.
Larry was part of a large number of civic and religious organizations. Toastmasters 1975-1977; Branch President Thrivent Financial 1988-1998; Western Hills Kiwanis 1998-2004; Board of Directors OSU Music Association 1998-2004; Benton County Democratic Party, Precinct Committee Vice Chair 1999-2001; Holy Trinity Lutheran Church, Laurel, MD 1966-1977; Grace Lutheran Church, Corvallis, Ore., 1977-2004; St. Matthew Lutheran Church, Portland 2004-2020.
He worked as a volunteer for Meals on Wheels, Corvallis 1998-2004; Raleigh Hills K-8 School, Portland 2005-2010; Alberta Rider Elementary School, Tigard, Ore., 2011-2012; Habitat for Humanity; and OSU Crossroads 1984-2004.
He was an avid philanthropist contributing to many organizations. His favorite hobbies were spending time with family, watching birds, reading, playing games, singing, attending church, listening to his wife sing in the church choir, watching his children and grandchildren play sports and perform. Larry never let a person pass without reaching out for a handshake or hand hold. He was welcomed into Heaven, with angels singing, "Well done."
A memorial service will be held at a date to be determined. His remains are interred at Oak Lawn Memorial Park, Corvallis, Ore. In lieu of flowers, please consider a gift of remembrance of Larry to the National Wildlife Federation, the Macular Degeneration Association, Sarasota, Fla., or St. Matthew Lutheran Church, Beaverton, Ore. Read the full obituary and sign the guestbook at: www.mchenryfuneralhome.com
Please sign the online guest book at www.oregonlive.com/obits
source: http://obits.oregonlive.com/obituaries/oregon/obituary.aspx?n=lawrence-j-blus&pid=196662597
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2020.08.19 21:00 portlane Lawrence Blus (Dec. 13, 1933 - July 2, 2020)

Lawrence J. Blus
Dec. 13, 1933 - July 2, 2020
Lawrence "Larry" John Blus of Portland passed away Thursday, July 2, 2020 in Portland. He was 86. Larry was born Dec. 23, 1933 in Tilden, Ill., to Frank Blus and Anna Lentkis Blus, Larry was one of eight children: Anne (Pete) Novack; Mary (Louis) Luketich; Frank, Jr. (Willa) Blus; Joe (Jane) Blus; Bill (Dorothy) Blus; Ray (Betty) Blus; Barbara Jean (Mervil) Franklin. Larry was preceded in death by his parents; and all siblings and their spouses except for his sister, Barbara Jean Franklin of Fairview Heights, Ill. Nieces and nephews (deceased): Gloria Jean Novack, Jamie Luketich Jr., Andrew Blus, and Lucille Luketich. Surviving nieces and nephews: Cindy (Steve) Meyer, Debi Jo (Roger) Urbani, Joyce (Kenny) Clare, Jill (Jim) Webb, Joni Blus, Paul (Ann) Luketich, Louie Luketich, Dr. James (Christine) Luketich, Dennis (Julia)Franklin, Evelyn Franklin, and many great and great-great nieces and nephews survive Larry.
Larry is survived by his wife; three children; and three grandchildren. Larry married Donna Darlene (Weil) Blus, April 25, 1964 in North Platte, Neb. The couple celebrated their 50th anniversary in 2014 by renewing their vows. They were married 56 years.
Larry and Donna have three children: Denise (Kevin) Cossa Tigard, Ore.; Emily (Kenneth) Tantare Portland; and Daniel Blus Salem, Ore. Larry is survived by grandchildren: Sarah Tantare Seattle, Wash.; Julia Tantare Portland; and Caitlin Cossa Tigard, Ore.
Larry attended Tilden Illinois Elementary and graduated from Marissa Illinois Township High School, Class of 1951. He served in the U.S. Army from 1953-1955, earning the rank of corporal. He moved on to college, receiving a Bachelor of Science degree from Southern Illinois University, Carbondale, Ill., in 1959; followed by a Master's degree in 1963.
Larry joined the Army during the Korean War and used the GI bill to enroll at Southern Illinois University where he became the first person in the Blus family to get a college education. Immediately after he obtained his bachelor's degree, he studied and got his master's degree. He used these degrees in Zoology and Botany to study birds, working for the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service as a leading biologist researching how DDE and DDT affected the eggshells of brown pelicans. He was published in countless books and papers and testified before Congress against the use of certain toxic pesticides that eventually contributed to restrictions on the use of DDT. He published nearly 100 papers in scientific journals and chapters in scientific books.
Larry began his professional work experience as a research biologist for the Nebraska Fish & Game Commission 1963-1966. He worked as a wildlife research biologist 31 years for U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service from 1966-1997.
Larry was part of a large number of civic and religious organizations. Toastmasters 1975-1977; Branch President Thrivent Financial 1988-1998; Western Hills Kiwanis 1998-2004; Board of Directors OSU Music Association 1998-2004; Benton County Democratic Party, Precinct Committee Vice Chair 1999-2001; Holy Trinity Lutheran Church, Laurel, MD 1966-1977; Grace Lutheran Church, Corvallis, Ore., 1977-2004; St. Matthew Lutheran Church, Portland 2004-2020.
He worked as a volunteer for Meals on Wheels, Corvallis 1998-2004; Raleigh Hills K-8 School, Portland 2005-2010; Alberta Rider Elementary School, Tigard, Ore., 2011-2012; Habitat for Humanity; and OSU Crossroads 1984-2004.
He was an avid philanthropist contributing to many organizations. His favorite hobbies were spending time with family, watching birds, reading, playing games, singing, attending church, listening to his wife sing in the church choir, watching his children and grandchildren play sports and perform. Larry never let a person pass without reaching out for a handshake or hand hold. He was welcomed into Heaven, with angels singing, "Well done."
A memorial service will be held at a date to be determined. His remains are interred at Oak Lawn Memorial Park, Corvallis, Ore. In lieu of flowers, please consider a gift of remembrance of Larry to the National Wildlife Federation, the Macular Degeneration Association, Sarasota, Fla., or St. Matthew Lutheran Church, Beaverton, Ore. Read the full obituary and sign the guestbook at: www.mchenryfuneralhome.com
Please sign the online guest book at www.oregonlive.com/obits
source: http://obits.oregonlive.com/obituaries/oregon/obituary.aspx?n=lawrence-j-blus&pid=196662597
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2020.08.10 20:38 Buck_Joffrey Wealth Formula Episode 224: Multifamily Macroeconomics in the Twilight Zone

Catch the full episode: https://www.wealthformula.com/podcast/224-multifamily-macroeconomics-in-the-twilight-zone/
Buck: Welcome back to the show everyone. Today my guest on Wealth Formula Podcast, he's been on the show before. He's economist Ryan Davis. He actually joined us at one of our last Wealth Formula meetups. Of course, the last one we had was canceled but Ryan was at the one before that. He serves as a chief operating officer at Witten Advisors and provides fact-based research analysis and discussion to help clients like us formulate their apartment strategies and these insights and for investment decisions for multi-family development and buy/sell opportunities which as you can imagine we're all looking for some of this advice these days. Ryan has a PhD in economics from the University of Texas. Ryan, welcome back to Wealth Formula Podcast.
Ryan: Thank you. Glad to be back.
Buck: Yeah it's been like a pandemic ago when we last talked right? Listen, you know I want to kind of jump into the whole you know what the heck is going on, I mean the overall, if you would, you know kind of give me your overall assessment of the economy. I mean obviously we know these huge drops in GDP etc which were expected last quarter. How is this all affecting real estate asset prices especially you know apartments which is you know is our interest and something that you specialize in?
Ryan: Sure so yeah the great unknown is the pace of the recovery. So we had that big drop through April in terms of employment and then we got a bounce back in May and June and the hope was that it was going to be a V-shaped recovery. But then we saw virus cases ramp back up in the second half of June into the early part of July and the local economy started rolling back some of their openings and so with that, we've kind of stalled out recently. So we'll get the July numbers this Friday for overall payroll gains and that could I think the consensus is anywhere between one, one and a half million jobs it could be negative so who knows but it looks like the hope for a v-shaped recovery in the economy has kind of stalled out after the first two months of optimism. And so we think that going forward we won't see any the worst is behind us really and so we won't see you know the big losses that we experienced in March and early into April so kind of what we're calling for right now is for the national economy to continue to add jobs for the remainder of the year and then beginning next year a recovery should emerge and that would sustain demand for housing and ultimately apartments going forward. In the near term as far as multi-family goes we expect some pain through the end of this year and then into the early part of next year. In terms of pricing power, if we had to boil it down to one number it's rent growth so year over year effective rent growth we think that declines to eight percent rent cuts this year and into the early part of 2021. That varies considerably on a local market basis I think our worst-performing market is Metro New York City probably no surprise there but then also many of the other gateway markets such as Boston, LA, the Bay Area, etc. We expect rent declines to be lower than that eight percent across the board, however many of the inner west, Texas, southeastern market should outperform still see rent declines but not closer to five/six percent range at the depth and so we expect near-term pain but then as we get out into 2021 and afterward and the economy begins to add a lot of jobs we would expect rent growth to return to multi-family. And then what that means for pricing in terms of apartment assets for right now in the second quarter hardly any deals trade at hand so it's really tough to get a sense of where pricing is and with the deals that have traded though the cap rates have remained relatively stable which is a good sign. We've heard from some of our merchant builder clients where they had assets they had constructed and were going out to the market to sell in the early part of April they were saying 10 discounts in terms of the compared to pre corona levels but that has since come back in the last 45-60 days and maybe it's only one to two percent in terms of the haircut that they're seeing out there right now. And there's a just a ton of capital that wants to get back into multifamily at the same time there's hardly any distress out there right now so there's a lack of available to you know supply to buy and so everyone is just kind of in this standstill there's a big ass gap because buyers aren't willing to pay yesterday's prices for assets but sellers aren't willing to give any you know deep discounts right now and so it's kind of a standstill and we’ll see how all this plays out.
Buck: Yeah you know it's really interesting we're obviously you know through, you work with Western Wealth Capital, one of my partners and you know it's funny because we were kind of thinking well maybe there'll be some real buying opportunities but you know we've seen a little bit maybe just you know from buyers who are sellers who just are just wanting to get out while they're ahead maybe they made some money you know maybe they and at this point you know they're just thinking let's just cash out and maybe they're willing to take a little bit less but for the most part you know if you look across our own portfolio and it might be because it's largely again Texas and Arizona, etc that and maybe it's because it's mostly working-class B and you know high C class apartment but our portfolio you know the numbers are just as good as they've ever been in terms of you know occupancy in terms of even our we're still raising rents. And so when you look at that you're like well I mean how do you expect there to be any you know smoking deals out there if the sellers really aren't feeling any distress. So is there a difference you know when you look at something like a B and C class apartment scenario versus A right now or have you been able to break that down a little bit because I think the people I know who are in the A-class and new build are you know they're certainly feeling things a little bit more than we are.
Ryan: Yeah so what we've heard from some of our clients in terms of early on so may June in terms of rent collections class A's were actually from a nationwide perspective actually exceeded the class B and C product. Now we don't think that will continue going forward and the main reason is that new deliveries that are coming online they will compete with the existing top of the market product and so we think that it will be short-lived in terms of the top of the market outperformance and another part is due to just the nature of this downturn where low-wage sectors were hit extremely hard in April, got some bounce back in May and June but the leisure and hospitality sectors lower-paying positions those have been the most impacted so far. But going forward we don't think that this downturn would be any different than prior recessions in terms of the class A leading the way down in terms of jobs and occupancy and also rent growth or rent cuts in the near term. So class A’s will lead the market down but then as we get out into the later part of next year and into early 2022 then class A's would outperform the broader market. So yeah we think through the end of this year until early next that B's and C's will hold up relatively better but that's mainly a function of just the competition that it takes to get these new projects they will get leased up it's just a matter of the market-clearing price and so those have to compete those could be mostly with the top end of the spectrum and so we see big rent declines and concessions in the class A space going forward.
Buck: You know there's this thesis that's going around in the multi-family space and you know I've been sort of you know looking at it this way too for a while though I'm starting to you know feel like it's maybe not gonna happen is this idea that there's going to be a potentially before we really rebound and start heading up again that there’ll potentially be a you know big tsunami of defaults and things like that. Right now at least what I'm you know seeing and hearing about in terms of the lending markets and in terms of these properties, there really isn't much indication of that right now is there I mean what do you think?
Ryan: No at least not in the short term I mean again there's it goes back to my earlier comment there's been no distress really and so that is due mainly to the huge stimulus packages that have been passed those from a fiscal standpoint and a monetary standpoint which is it's crazy to think that GDP declined at an annualized rate by 32 however incomes soared and so that's all due to the stimulus that we saw and so that's helped prop up renters incomes and allow them to pay rent. Now going forward I think some of these the number of defaults I don't think there will be a tsunami, at least that's how we view it right now, ask me again in a week and it could change, but I think that the defaults will be very market specific and so those geographies that have been hit harder we'll see a larger number but many of the Texas markets, Phoenix, Denver, southeast high growth markets where you've got this short-term tailwind in terms of folks at the margin more and the trends that have been in place for years of folks moving from gateway markets into these inner markets will be kind of you know given a stairway shot really in the near term and so that would help to prop up multi-family fundamentals and so yeah if you're expecting a tsunami of defaults in any of those markets that I've mentioned again it kind of gets a little bit granular in terms of you know potentially Orlando might have some problems just with the amount of supply and then the you know low-wage in tourism industries being impacted more dramatically and that would lead to some weakness in Orlando but out outside of that maybe Houston you could argue you know somewhat but outside of those two and those those areas of the inner west Texas, southeast Florida should be but hold up you know relatively well and I would think that the main stress points will be out you know on the coast in California potentially portland we do think seattle holds up relatively well and then northeast in terms of you know New York and Boston as well so I think it's very locally market driven.
Buck: Yeah it's interesting you know we did we were a little worried about Houston too but our you know Houston portfolio is actually doing awesome it's not having any problems at all which is which was you know again, knock on wood that’s what it's been so far. Let me ask you another question you mentioned the pent-up demand of you know money on the sidelines waiting to get back in and you know and in many situations, they have to get back in right they're mandated to deploy capital and that sort of thing do you the one thought that I've had through this is you know multi-family and well multi-family in general has held up so well during this period of time does that potentially create a situation where you know the big money that's coming in starts looking at this even harder as potentially a little bit of a hedge or a little bit of safe haven. What what do you guys think is going to be the effect of that you know the relatively stable performance and then ultimately you know having all of this money on the sidelines,? Do you see paradoxical even further compression of cap rates over the next couple years? What's your thought on that?
Ryan: Yeah and so kind of pre-corona our forecast was for cap rates to continue to decline and you know taking a step back it was mainly driven by global factors with the aging populations across the globe that have built wealth up and all that investment needed to be placed somewhere. And so those trends were driving returns lower for longer and so those are the demographic that have not been affected by the pandemic. And so just from a global standpoint, we're expecting returns across all assets whether stocks bonds you know all classes of real estate whether it's multi or industrial retail office, etc those returns would continue to head lower. Now we've had the pandemic and we've seen multi-family and industrial hold up exceedingly well and who knows what to make of retail office and lodging just lots of pain and in those sectors and so if you need to be allocated to real estate then multifamily and industrial or where you want to be at least in the short term and especially if you're looking for consistency of returns and you know risk-adjusted on a risk-adjusted basis you know multi-industrial or have outperformed other asset classes and so really to get into the lodging office retail space probably more opportunistic mindset in terms of those assets may need to be repositioned etc and so I think a lot of that money that's out there is not looking to get there's a lot that's looking for that type of asset turnaround story but there's also a lot of money out there that needs the stability. And so that should continue to compress cap rates or put a really put a cap on that cap rates and so it would be no surprise if cap rates on an aggregate basis hold steady and maybe even decline despite a deterioration in short-term fundamentals and part of that is due to the long-term belief in apartments going forward and so yes there's a short-term dislocation where we expect some move-outs that you know this year actually there are a lot of move-outs that we expect and so there's going to be a lot of doubling up folks moving back in with their families but then there's going to be pent up demand as we as that recovery takes hold next year and that will be released and so we see leasing to be through the roof next year and then out into 2022. Then at the same time as that demand story improves in the short term we see starts decelerating dramatically so we've we're going from a 400,000 unit run rate to about 200,000 units by the early part of next year. And so new production is going to get cut in half now that we don't get any benefit of that immediately so we have to wait till later part of 2022 and 2023 before we see that slowdown and production really lift fundamentals and so I think everyone is seeing that yes there's some short-term disruption in the multi-family market right now, but the long-term drivers are there and if you have the capital to wait out this very painful period in the short term then there will be major benefits after that we should see after next year.
Buck: Now one of the things you said I think earlier is that the worst is behind us do you believe that's the case in terms of rent growth and you know rent cuts and that sort of thing right now?
Ryan: I think the worst is behind us in terms of the economy. I think that going forward we should continue to produce job gains on a monthly basis, though this next report could see some layoffs we'll see the consensus is one million one and a half. In terms of multi-family we do not think the worst is behind us we think that fundamentals will continue to deteriorate into the early part of next year we think that you know kind of right now in terms of year over year rent growth in the early part of this year let's call it three, three and a half percent we've since gone down to zero percent in the second quarter. So on a quarterly basis we've seen some dramatic rent cuts, again this is on a national basis and then as we move forward we see occupancy dropping by about three percentage points into the early part of next year, rent declines of about eight percent through the remainder of this year into the first quarter of next year and so no we do think that there will be some deterioration and fundamentals going forward. On the flip side of that might present some opportunities and so any assets that were purchased specially in your space in terms of if they were bought at the top of the market at the end of last year in the early part of this year and now that value-add story isn't there where you might not be able to get the rent bumps that you were expecting so some of those assets will have to be recapitalized and so that might present some opportunity as the year progresses but again like you said we haven't seen that materialized so far.
Buck: Yeah that's the tricky part right I mean it's sort of like I think when you're on the buy side here you're saying well I mean these prices that we're seeing right now you know with prolonged you know low-interest rates which we can pretty much guarantee at this point for a period of time and then the pent-up demand. It's sort of like okay well I mean this actually might be one of the better times to buy if you consider what could potentially happen in the next you know 18 to 24 months in terms of you know explosive growth. When you look at those indicators that you're you know that you're talking about that may lead to some of the more explosive growth metrics what markets come to mind the most for you?
Buck: Now one of the things you said I think earlier is that the worst is behind us do you believe that's the case in terms of rent growth and you know rent cuts and that sort of thing right now?
Ryan: Yeah so our general geographic areas that we like we like the southeast, parts of Florida, Texas and the inner west. We really like Atlanta, we like South Florida though there's a little more pain in the short term some of our clients are saying it kind of in terms of you know rent collections you know northeast but also yeah LA but then South Florida is outperforming those two areas but still lagging some of these other markets. So we like the Texas markets long term the interwebs you have Phoenix, Denver, Salt Lake as well. We like Seattle that's an outlier on the west coast but then the other markets whereas in the Bay Area we expect those you know rent growth numbers to average four, four and a half percent which stack up really well across the nation but for those markets that's a recession pretty much and so compared to what's normal and the cap rates you have to pay the rent growth numbers there kind of you know lackluster. So the midwest the markets they won't be hit as hard but still they don't get that explosive growth going forward and so we really like the inner West Texas, southeast of Florida markets and you know part of that has been driven being driven by the migration flows. So domestic migration numbers have really helped out all of these markets we've seen outflows from the northeast boston new york the bay area Southern California we've seen migration outflows from those markets into the you know inner west you know Las Vegas the inland Phoenix, Denver you know people moving from the coast into those markets and then you know also parts of texas as well but then in terms of the northeast the flows that are coming in to the Nashvilles the Charlottes, Raleighs, Atlanta, Florida markets we and then also Texas as well and so those trends have been accelerated at least in the short term, but it's important to remember that those have been going on for a decade at least even more and then other markets and so it's not anything new but at the margin that will support many of these other markets.
Buck: Yeah on the west coast I mean there's that flight to Arizona as well right from California. One of the things that you know is worth talking about is what effect this has had you know the pandemic and the recession on the lending market, with Fannie and Freddie and you know how that might be playing into any of the growth or lack of growth.
Ryan: Yeah I think on the financing side you know debt for stabilized assets it's there and it's cheap you may have to you know have higher reserves than you've had typically but for the most part it's there and so that's part of the appeal of buying assets right now with these record low interest rates. So I think for stabilized assets yeah it's there for new construction it is dried up considerably and this is a change in the last 30 to 60 days and so the fed does a survey each quarter of banks and their tightening of multi-family construction lending standards and that the latest report shows 70 percent of banks tighten their multi-family construction loans last quarter which we haven't seen those levels since 2008/2009. And so I think part of it's the lenders are trying to make sense of what they have in terms of all these other asset types in terms of real estate or retail, lodging, office loans, they're trying to you know spend a lot of time working those out and so then you add on the uncertainty in terms of the economic recovery etc, they've pretty much put a halt on new construction loans. And so that's been a big change here in the last two months call it. Then on the equity side I think returns have been increased but still available and interested but you know a lot of you know equity and especially focusing in on the new starts pipeline if all the deals that have been started are continuing and it's kind of a mixed bag from our clients in terms of are you seeing delays or actually some other clients that reported these they were able to speed up the timing in terms of getting able to get trucks into sites very easily and then also the construction workers that were on you know working on hotels motels those have come into the apartment sector and so that's provided more manpower in terms of getting these deals done. And so those that were under construction are continuing to proceed, those that were capitalized I think that but haven't begun those have been they haven't pulled out completely they just said let's press pause to see let's say can we get any break in construction costs over the next several months and so the equity and banks they're still willing to do it move forward on those deals that have been capitalized but are you know slow playing it. And then you get to the others where there's land sites and they hadn't been entitled and haven't been capitalized those deals we think have been shelved for right now and so it kind of where some opportunity could be is on the land side of you know potentially purchasing some land sites that might be teed up for development as we get further along in this recovery.
Buck: Again one of the things that you're saying though in terms of construction loans not being there again it helps us for those of us who have apartment portfolios already that are already there that that again goes to the issue of a simple supply and demand issue which we can benefit from if there's not a whole lot of new builds. You know this is a major driving variable in in apartment buildings nationally can you give us a little bit of the idea of you know just not being able to keep up with you know population growth in various parts of the country, can you give us a little bit of you know sort of a thousand-foot view on the perspective on how big of an issue that actually is?
Ryan: I don't know if it's that big of an issue you know on on the whole and I think that you know some of these higher growth markets in terms of where we've you know call it the Atlantas and North Carolina markets, Central North Florida, Texas, the inner west regions where we've seen large population growth statistics you know high growth markets but they're also they also tend to be the highest in terms of supply for housing and so it's more easy to build in those markets especially you know out as you get away from the know central cities etc and so where we've seen the the biggest barriers to supply are out on the coast and so we've seen you know job growth be pretty good in those markets but the supply hasn't kept up at all and so that's why you're seeing you know these big you know rent affordability you know problems in the coastal markets and so we think that supply not keeping up with the population dynamics is more of a coastal problem but then you know as you get into the markets that are more accepting of new development then you know we've seen housing supply increase at a rapid clip in many of these other markets I think you know Austin you know even through the June of this year permit activity for multi-family continued to set it reached big big levels and so I think year to date in Austin it's already pulled permits on almost 10,000 units already which is you know huge numbers. And so I do think that while these population growth numbers and some of these markets are you know off the charts especially compared to you know some of the coastal markets, that supply has been able to keep up there and so yeah you see pockets of where you know rent growth you know bumps up to you know five, six percent levels, it's especially that was the case in Phoenix and Las Vegas over the past two to three years where those markets were leading in terms of rent increases but they tend to you know be markets that you know will accept more new supply and so that will tend to even out over the long term.
Buck: How's Vegas doing out of curiosity because that one was just crushing it. It seemed it seemed a little dangerous you know it seemed like one of those markets where it's like wow is it real or is it one of those things that's just gonna go back to Vegas.
Ryan: Yeah exactly and yeah kind of thinking that you know before kind of goes back to your comment earlier about people moving from the coast to getting in their car and driving to the riverside and then Las Vegas and Phoenix and so it was benefiting from a real out-migration from expensive coastal California. That said that just the nature of this pandemic crushing leisure and hospitality and the conference circuit that the job losses in Las Vegas I think you know through April into May led the nation. We've seen some a bit of a bounce back there but really the question is you know how fast does the the conference you know a circuit come back, how fast are people willing to travel to casinos, I know they have already, but I think that pre-corona the growth was real and yeah absolutely now it's a little bit different you know market in terms of the cost and you don't want to go in there and if you're a developer you don't you know want to build a high-rise there and so your strategy is a little bit different but so far it's held up relatively well, all things considered, but still a lot of weakness that is materializing in Vegas.
Buck: Interesting stuff. Well listen I don't want to keep you all day long, Ryan, but it's been great talking to you. Where can we learn more about your work?
Ryan: Sure. Probably the easiest is wittenadvisors.com you can go there, all our contact information is there, feel free to reach out with a phone call or send me an email anytime and I'll be happy to give you more details on the services that we provide and how we add value to many clients that are in either owner, operators, developers, equity or lender clients.
Buck: Fantastic thanks again and we'd love to have you again you know in a few months to reassess where we are at.
Ryan: All right. Sounds good. Looking forward to it.
Buck: We'll be right back
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2020.08.02 06:44 Euronotus Isaias (09L - Northern Atlantic): Day 4


Latest news

Last updated: Sunday, 2 August 2020 - 5:15 AM EDT (09:15 UTC)

Isaias begins to weaken again as it approaches the Florida coast

Satellite imagery analysis reveals that the burst of deep convection which developed to the northeast of Isaias's exposed low-level circulation has not resulted in any sort of restrengthening or improvement in the cyclone's convective structure overnight. Aerial reconnaissance data and Doppler radar confirms this, finding a dearth of surface winds greater than 55 knots (60 miles per hour). Isaias has been struggling against strong westerly shear for several hours, which has displaced the cyclone's mid-level circulation to the east of the low-level circulation, preventing a resurgence in convective development that could have restrengthened the cyclone. Supplemental scatterometer data also reveals that Isaias's wind field has become smaller across the western portion of the cyclone's circulation.  
Advisory #21 (2:00 AM EDT)
Current location: 26.3°N 79.5°W 41 miles ENE of Fort Lauderdale, Florida
45 miles SE of West Palm Beach, Florida
87 miles SE of Port Saint Lucie, Florida
176 miles SSE of Titusville, Florida
Forward motion: NW (325°) at 8 knots (9 mph)
Maximum winds: 55 knots (65 mph)
Intensity: Tropical Storm
Minimum pressure: 996 millibars (29.39 inches)
 

Forecast Discussion

Isaias is no longer expected to regain hurricane strength

Tropical Storm Isaias is beginning to gain latitude as it approaches the eastern Florida coastline this morning. The cyclone continues to move around the southwestern periphery of a subtropical ridge which remains over the central Atlantic Ocean and is responding to the presence of an approaching mid-level trough. Because Isaias has not shown any attempt to reorganize or strengthen despite a very warm ocean surface and the timing of the diurnal convective maximum, the window of opportunity for Isaias to regain hurricane strength has effectively shut. Therefore, the overall intensity forecast has been decreased to remove the possibility that Isaias could restrengthen. That said, Isaias is still expected to bring strong winds, heavy rainfall, and dangerous storm surge as it closely parallels the Florida coastline throughout the day on Sunday.

Deteriorating environmental conditions will steadily weaken Isaias through landfall in South Carolina

An approaching mid-level trough is expected to pull Isaias northward and northeastward on Monday. Synoptic surveillance data collected by a NOAA Hurricane Hunters aircraft earlier this evening indicates that upper-level winds will become much more unfavorable. This, combined with (relatively) cooler sea temperatures and dry mid-level air, will push Isaias past the point of no return, steadily weakening it as it makes landfall over South Carolina and moves along the entire Eastern Seaboard through Wednesday. Isaias is expected to transition into an extratropical cyclone as it moves across Labrador on Wednesday evening and emerges over the Gulf of Saint Lawrence on Thursday.

Key Messages

Last updated: Sunday, 2 August 2020 - 5:00 AM EDT (09:00 UTC)
1. Tropical storm conditions will continue across portions of the northwestern Bahamas through today.  
2. Tropical storm conditions are expected to spread northward along the east coast of Florida within the warning area through early Monday. These conditions are expected to spread northward along the coast of Georgia and South Carolina within the warning area on Monday.  
3. Dangerous storm surge is possible along the Florida east coast from Jupiter Inlet to Ponte Vedra Beach where water rises of 2 to 4 feet above ground level are possible along the immediate coastline and adjacent waterways. Residents there should follow advice given by local emergency officials.  
4. Isaias will produce heavy rains and potentially life-threatening flash flooding across portions of the northwestern Bahamas, and flash and urban flooding, especially in low-lying and poorly drained areas, along the East Coast of the United States. Minor to isolated moderate river flooding is possible across portions of the Carolinas and Mid-Atlantic this week.  
5. Tropical storm watches are in effect for portions of the coast of South and North Carolina. Additional watches and warnings will likely be issued later today as Isaias is expected to move northward near or over the southeast and mid-Atlantic coasts over the next couple of days.

Five Day Forecast

Last updated: Sunday, 2 August 2020 - 5:00 AM EDT (09:00 UTC)
Hour Date Time Intensity Winds - Lat Long
- - UTC EDT - knots mph ºN ºW
00 02 Aug 06:00 02:00 Tropical Storm 55 65 26.3 79.5
12 02 Aug 18:00 14:00 Tropical Storm 55 65 27.4 80.1
24 03 Aug 06:00 02:00 Tropical Storm 55 65 28.8 80.6
36 03 Aug 18:00 14:00 Tropical Storm 55 65 30.7 80.6
48 04 Aug 06:00 02:00 Tropical Storm 55 65 33.7 79.1
60 04 Aug 18:00 14:00 Tropical Storm 50 60 37.8 76.4
72 05 Aug 06:00 02:00 Tropical Storm (Inland) 40 45 42.9 72.4
96 06 Aug 06:00 02:00 Post-tropical Cyclone (Inland) 30 35 50.0 65.0
120 07 Aug 06:00 02:00 Dissipated
 

Official Information Sources

National Hurricane Center

Forecast information

Graphics

Key Messages

National Weather Service Offices

Satellite Imagery

Floater imagery

Regional imagery

Radar Imagery

University of Miami (provided by Brian McNoldy)

Analysis Graphics and Data

Wind analysis

Sea surface temperatures

Model Guidance

Storm-Specific Guidance

Western Atlantic Guidance

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2020.07.31 16:40 Kukulkan73 App does not start on iOS 9 and iOS 10?

Hi,
I just compiled some Xamarin App that also includes some external C library. It works fine on iOS 11, 12 and 13 but does not open on iOS 9 and 10. It does not even connect to the debugger. If I open it manually on the device, it just shows the one color background for half a second and then closes immediately. No error message. No crash report. No debugging. No messages somewhere...
Any idea about solutions? How to find the reason? Seems there is no code of mine running at this moment.
This is my versions:
=== Visual Studio Community 2019 for Mac === Version 8.6.8 (build 2) Installation UUID: 4c6faed5-193d-4ead-97d4-e1cd477549e8 GTK+ 2.24.23 (Raleigh theme) Xamarin.Mac 6.18.0.23 (d16-6 / 088c73638) Package version: 610000106 === Mono Framework MDK === Runtime: Mono 6.10.0.106 (2019-12/77769615db1) (64-bit) Package version: 610000106 === Roslyn (Language Service) === 3.6.0-3.20210.9+4eafdcb1bcbd8d3573f2ba6065e56d9b9ce4f8a3 === NuGet === Version: 5.6.0.6591 === .NET Core SDK === SDK: /uslocal/share/dotnet/sdk/3.1.302/Sdks SDK Versions: 3.1.302 3.1.301 3.1.300 3.1.200 MSBuild SDKs: /Library/Frameworks/Mono.framework/Versions/6.10.0/lib/mono/msbuild/Current/bin/Sdks === .NET Core Runtime === Runtime: /uslocal/share/dotnet/dotnet Runtime Versions: 3.1.6 3.1.5 3.1.4 3.1.2 2.1.20 2.1.19 2.1.18 === Xamarin.Profiler === Version: 1.6.15.68 Location: /Applications/Xamarin Profiler.app/Contents/MacOS/Xamarin Profiler === Updater === Version: 11 === Apple Developer Tools === Xcode 11.6 (16141) Build 11E708 === Xamarin.Mac === Xamarin.Mac not installed. Can't find /Library/Frameworks/Xamarin.Mac.framework/Versions/Current/Version. === Xamarin.iOS === Version: 13.18.3.2 (Visual Studio Community) Hash: ce0cc74a3 Branch: d16-6-xcode11.6 Build date: 2020-07-16 18:15:27-0400 === Xamarin Designer === Version: 16.6.0.329 Hash: d4f8bcd13 Branch: remotes/origin/d16-6 Build date: 2020-04-24 02:16:02 UTC === Microsoft OpenJDK for Mobile === Java SDK: /Users/buildmasteLibrary/DevelopeXamarin/jdk/microsoft_dist_openjdk_1.8.0.25 1.8.0-25 Android Designer EPL code available here: https://github.com/xamarin/AndroidDesigner.EPL === Operating System === Mac OS X 10.15.5 Darwin 19.5.0 Darwin Kernel Version 19.5.0 Tue May 26 20:41:44 PDT 2020 root:xnu-6153.121.2~2/RELEASE_X86_64 x86_64 
Any ideas about the possible reason?
Another person told me it is working, but he is running/compiling with some older versions (Visual Studio Version 8.3.7 (build 1), Xamarin.Mac 5.16.1.24, Mono 6.8.0.99, .NET Core SDK 3.0.100, .NET Core-Runtime 3.0.0, Xamarin.iOS 13.18.3.2). Could it be that this has been broken for a few months?
Shall I consider downgrading? I do not really like this idea :-(
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2020.07.27 17:32 pahohi1327JJul Christian Harmony Da-ting Si-te

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2020.07.27 17:30 pahohi1327JJul Christian and Single Da-ting S-ite

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2020.07.23 20:26 Flameba11 DMV Appointments Impossible?

Hello,
We moved into Raleigh from Idaho a few months ago. Our license plates are technically expiring at the end of this month (most states have extended registration expiration dates out a few months, but I cant find anything on Idaho's DMV stating that they have also provisioned this). That said, my wife and I are trying to get appointments to register our vehicle and get our NC drivers licenses.
But I for the life of me cant get anyone to answer the phone in any office (Ive called the nearest 5 offices and have been holding for hours). Addtionally, I have gone online and checked all offices in the greater Raleigh area for online appointments (for both services), and no offices are showing any available appointments. I also called their central phone and requested a call back and after holding twice and having my calls dropped. Nothing. For all of these calls, its always an automated system saying I'm being transferred or something of the sort, but then the transfer fails or the call is dropped. Its infuriating. Anyone know how to get an appointment? TIA
Update: Apparently, the system books appointments in a monthly window. Today, 8/24's appointments opened up. I was able to snag a couple appointments. Thanks for the help!
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2020.07.08 12:50 the_real_rabbi PPP Mega "Loans" Over $1 Million Made To Cherokee Area "Small" Businesses

Business Name Date Loan Range Zip
Cherokee Ford, Inc. 4/12/2020 $1-2 million 30188
Erb Industries, Inc. 4/11/2020 $1-2 million 30188
First Baptist Church Of Woodstock Ga, Inc. 4/27/2020 $1-2 million 30188
Kirk-Rudy, Inc 4/30/2020 $1-2 million 30188
Pestban Inc 4/15/2020 $1-2 million 30188
Pillow Perfect, Inc. 4/7/2020 $1-2 million 30188
Roytec Industries Llc 4/8/2020 $1-2 million 30188
Ganz U.S.A., Llc 4/15/2020 $2-5 million 30188
Medical Imaging Solutions Usa Llc 4/7/2020 $2-5 million 30188
The Wright Rehabilitation Service Inc 4/9/2020 $2-5 million 30188
Smith Douglas Holdings Llc 4/29/2020 $5-10 million 30188

Schoen Insulation Services, Inc. 4/29/2020 $1-2 million 30115
Southeast Restoration Group Of Georgia Inc 4/27/2020 $1-2 million 30115
Summit Stairs & Millwork Of Raleigh, Llc 4/14/2020 $1-2 million 30115
Gibson Technical Services, Inc 4/13/2020 $2-5 million 30115
Place Services, Inc. 4/9/2020 $2-5 million 30115

Highlander Motor Sales Inc 5/3/2020 $1-2 million 30114
Hooked On Dough Llc 4/7/2020 $1-2 million 30114
Sports Fields Inc 4/10/2020 $1-2 million 30114
Global Systems Integration, Inc. 4/9/2020 $2-5 million 30114

Reinhardt University 4/10/2020 $2-5 million 30183

Ameritech Facility Services Llc 4/8/2020 $1-2 million 30107

Amicalola Electric Membership Corporation 4/6/2020 $2-5 million 30143
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2020.07.05 00:26 hokieman93 If COVID doesn't get me, the burden of choice will

Oh, great wise people of /relationship_advice, I come to you seeking your advice and guidance. I'm a 28 yo rather average white guy working in finance. Like a lot of 20-somethings, my primary method for meeting dates is apps. Tinder for hookups and short-term things, Bumble for potential longer-term stuff...you get the gist. Other relevant background? I'm less forward and perhaps a bit too passive with girls that I see as something other than "hit it and quit it" fodder. I've got a dry sense of humor, am very laid back, and can be hard to read (so I'm told). Humor tends to involve dark jokes and expletives, and I'm not exceptionally religious (this will come into play later).
Anyway. To the main course. This problem involves two girls. Let's call the first "Annie". Annie works at a different finance firm, though not in the same role. She's cute, exceptionally witty, and has a dark, kind of dirty sense of humor that I dig. We matched. Start talking. Goes well until we hit a speedbump. I apologize a couple of weeks later, and we wind up going to dinner. She specifically said this wasn't a "date" as she's rather sour on dating at the moment. That was about six weeks ago. Since then, we've done something almost every weekend. When we run into people, I'm introduced as a "friend", but at the end of the night, I get rather tight hugs that kinda leave me getting mixed signals. Further, she's routinely talked about us travelling to do stuff with other friends in Raleigh after COVID eases up a bit Still, I don't get the face-value gist that there's interest there romantically, and she's kind of distant at times (maybe just her personality?). She's asked me to do a couple of things. Aside from that, it's me asking if she wants to do something that weekend and her picking.
Enter girl number two. Let's call her "Beth". I matched with Beth on Facebook (yes, that godforsaken service has some decent options). Very pretty. Church-going and big on God (profile read "Must Love Jesus"). Seemingly blunt and confrontational. Sarcastic in her own right, but the humor is clean. So...I have to mind my words. We chat for a bit, no sparks, she unmatches, and I kind of chalk it up as a blessing in disguise given the lack of mutual spirituality. Last week, we matched again. I hit her with a few lines, and we're off to the races. She texts regularly. Displays a lot of enthusiasm that makes her interest rather clear. Also talks about doing stuff in the future beyond the initial meeting.
Beth is the kind of girl my family would love for me to bring home and more in line with what I had in mind as my "type" as a kid. Annie is either more in line with what I want now or...maybe that's just what I think since she's inaccessible by comparison.
  1. Am I heading for or already arrived at a mutual friend zone with Annie or am I missing something?
  2. I want to keep hanging out with Annie even if she's not interested, but I am kinda sheepish about making things awkward by expressing an interest that isn't reciprocal. Is it worth potentially blowing things up? I have a feeling if things get going with Beth, that will be curtains for Annie.
So....help?
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2020.06.15 22:27 HelloLurkerHere Tinaja Girl

Hi everyone! This is another unsolved case from Spain. This one in particular has been ranked by various Spanish crime and mystery polls as one of the most intriguing cases of our country.
This is, as always, a long read. But I hope you can enjoy it. Here it goes;

"Luci 13-12-1962"



Madrid, Spain
Wednesday, August 13th, 1969


A 20-years old firefighter walked into an old abandoned farmstead colloquially referred to by locals as Casa de la Viuda (Widow's House), near the municipality of Hortaleza. He would later tell LE that he frequented that place on his spare time; the old house was spacious, and he liked to go there to exercise and keep himself in excellent shape -as his job required him to be. Since it had been abandoned, the farm was frequented by locals at night only, as at the time it was used as a lover's lane. However, the morning of that August 13 his routine would be shattered in the spookiest way possible.

There were lots of old tools, furniture and other agricultural paraphernalia there. Among these there were several large tinajas (a type of jar-like and big recipient typical of Mediterranean and North African cultures, often used to store water, oil, or grain). One of these was particularly big. That morning the firefighter, motivated by curiosity, decided to peek inside that big tinaja. And that's when he made the disturbing discovery.

There was a dead woman stuffed inside.

Knowing that the police would secure the area for preserving evidence, the firefighter exited the house avoiding touching anything. He got into his car and drove to the nearest police station, informing LE about the gruesome finding. A team of investigators drove to the scene.

The woman was naked. A black turtleneck sweater was wrapped tightly around her neck. Her blue jeans and her panties were later found down around her ankles. She was young, her age at the time estimated to be somewhere in her 20's. Her bleached hair was of a very pale shade of blonde which, along with her at the time fashionable late 1960's clothing and her silver shoes and purse, inspired a there present LE investigator to eloquently define her appearance as 'like a space doll'.

She stood 160 cm tall (or 5'3''). Slender complexion.

He face had been battered, but later on it would be ruled that the cause of dead had been mechanical asphyxiation. More specifically, her killer had squeezed her throat hard with one hand, as the finger-shaped bruises on her neck attested. She had numerous defensive wounds in the form of bruises. Death had taken place less than 48 hours earlier, and her body was barely entering into the first stages of decomposition. The swelling in her face wasn't due to the decaying process, but due to the blunt trauma-induced inflammation. This detail would make the identification process much harder than expected. There was some dry blood on her cheeks and her clothing, but no traces of blood were found on the tinaja nor around; she had been murdered somewhere else and then dropped there later.

The contents of her purse, as well as the pockets in her jeans, were examined. This didn't produce any evidence that would point at the woman's identity. A strange piece of evidence was found trapped between her clenched teeth though; a small golden medallion with the following inscription embedded on it;


LUCI 13-12-1962


Could her name be Lucía? And what was that date referring to? Obviously, it couldn't be her birth date, since the body belonged clearly to an adult woman. Investigators at the scene pondered that maybe it could be the name and birth date of her daughter. This clue was used in the investigation.

The soil at the abandoned house showed that her killer had dragged her all the way to the tinaja where she was found in. It also showed that a car had been there. Based on the tire's pattern and the approximate wheelbase of the vehicle, investigators concluded that the car used to take the woman to there was a Renault 4L, a very popular car back then in Spain. What is more; they could also find a dent on the metal frame of the property's narrow gate. It was likely caused by a car speeding through it. Although the gate was narrow, anyone who could drive a car could easily go through it slowly. However, it seemed that someone -likely the killer- had rushed through with their car, hitting the frame in their way out, and probably full of anxiety about being seen dropping a body there.

The investigators managed to retrieve samples of red colored car paint from the dent, which gave them more information about where to look. A red Renault 4L.

It seemed that the tinaja, which was made of clay, had created conditions on its interior that had slowed down the decaying process in spite of the summer temperatures -tinajas make a rather cool storage space by keeping the heat out. Because of that, LE investigators managed to produce an excellent fingerprint profile from the murdered woman. It took the team just twelve hours since sampling her fingerprints to find a match. Keep in mind this was back in 1969, before fingerprint registries were in electronic form; the team had to split into several groups to compare (visually) the fingerprints with the registries of different public agencies. Twelve hours was a really quick time for a fingerprint match back then.

The fingerprint match came with a strange surprise. It was found by the team that had been assigned to compare the sample with the fingerprints from the Registry of Foreign Passports.

According to the match, it belonged to Kerry Payne, an American citizen. Born on December 25th, 1944 in Venice, Italy. Her parents were Richard and Nuria. The additional information in the registry mentioned 'housewife' as her professional occupation.

With the new data about her identity, LE tried to contact her family and relatives to tell them the unfortunate news about her death, as well as to move forward with the murder investigation. However, things would just start to get weirder and bizarre.

Payne's parents could not be located. Neither the US embassy, nor the personnel from the nearby USAF base in Torrejón de Ardoz could find anything about her within their databases. However, a matchbox advertising for a nightclub in Raleigh, North Carolina, had been found in the crime scene near the tinaja inside of which the woman had been found. The presence of this item had made investigators to put a lot of faith in thinking that sooner or later a relative of Kerry Payne would be found. The matchbox set them to contact North Carolina's authorities, leading them into another frustrating turn as this move didn't produce any results; There were no matching records of any Kerry Payne fitting the woman's personal information.

It was almost like Kerry Payne, also known as Tinaja Girl and Space Doll, didn't exist. So who was that dead woman really then? Where did she come from? And of course... who killed her, and why?



Chameleon among Wolves



Having clear that the whole Kerry Payne ID was fake, the investigation had stalled. Without knowing the woman's ID, solving the crime was off question. They couldn't trace down her last movements, nor question her family nor acquaintances.

The investigators split once again in teams to look for other fingerprint matches, which took a bit longer time than the initial twelve hours before the first match. After a couple of days of arduous work the investigators managed to produce a second match -which turned out to be legit. Here's another surprising aspect of the discovery of this match; it came from the team looking for results on the public mental health internment records. And so they finally had a solid name.

She wasn't American, nor Italian. In fact, her origins weren't at all exotic; she was Spanish. Natividad Romero Rodríguez (commonly addressed as "Nati") was born in the small town of Siles, located at 130 km (80 mi) east of Jaén, in the middle of the semiarid, deep Manchegan countryside. Nati came to this world on July 15h, 1941, which means that she was 28 years-old when she was killed. Her mother and her brother positively identified the body by an old scar on her right forearm.
Picture of a young Nati
Nati had been problematic from a very young age; volatile, kleptomaniac and narcissistic. She also developed an addiction to alcohol and used drugs during her teenage years. Her working-class family could not manage to deal with her extremely difficult behavior. At the age of 16 she was committed to a mental institution in Jaén, for a total of seven years, after two suicide attempts. In the first one Nati had jumped from the window of a 4th floor. The second time she had tried slicing her wrists on the bathtub.
Nati, circa 1965 The investigators' inquires revealed that Nati escaped from the mental institution and moved to Madrid in 1964. She quickly adapted to the underworld and the night life of the big city; first as a pickpocket and confidence trickster, but soon as a prostitute too. She used the name "Tania" as her identity at the time. Fifty-something questioned people later (being shown Nati's pictures), the investigators found that she lived with a man named Juan between August of 1964 and some point of the fall of 1965. There isn't much information about Juan, except that he was a black man and had a large scar on his face. He apparently was a soldier, and was sent to serve at a navy base in Rota (some 480 km, or 300 mi, southwest of Madrid). Nati didn't follow him to Rota; instead, she remained in Madrid, surviving by making money 'out of the night'.

Sometimes known by the name of Tania, sometimes by the name of Luci... and yes, also known as Kerry. She also liked to change her hair color very often, sometimes up to three times a week. These questioned about Nati -including other prostitutes- stated that she often 'worked' at the bars and nightclubs near the USAF base in Torrejón de Ardoz (active from 1953 to 1992), targeting American soldiers looking to spend some of their money on local women. She seemed to have a preference for black American soldiers, as she was often seen with them. When she was not heading to a hotel room escorted by an African-American soldier, Nati catered to local patrons posing as an American woman. She was reportedly very good at feigning an American accent, and she had discovered she was better paid for her services because of that. As for her personal life, Nati claimed to be a lesbian that the only thing she wanted from men was their money, and many people recalled her being physical with women (paid or not). Nati had, however, a worrisome tendency to seek very young girls for her personal pleasure.

Her acquaintances also mentioned than Nati always looked 'off' or 'sleepy', like on drugs. Although when considering this point it's worth remembering that Nati was an alcoholic and frequent drug user, on top of suffering from serious mental illness. When she didn't look drugged Nati was seen either drinking, looking for patrons or just looking for a fight; she was a violent woman who made an extensive use of foul language and profanity.

As the whole story unraveled, the investigators bumped into a big 'a-ha' moment when they learned that Nati had married in 1966. The name of her husband?

Leonard Payne. American citizen. USAF Airman First Class, stationed at Torrejón de Ardoz Air Base.

And yes; he was African-American.
Nati and Leonard, around 1966

The marriage was blessed with two children later on. It was also blessed, more obscurely, with generous money transfers from the US. These transfers amounted an average of around $2,000 a month, which in 2020 is the equivalent to about $16,000, or some 14,000€. It's not clear what kind of family background Leonard had, but his monthly salary at USAF certainly wouldn't match such amounts of money. The origin and motive of these money transfers has never been clear. The couple had rented a very expensive flat to live in.
Nati, with one of the children she had with Leonard

In early 1968 Leonard, who has an avionics expert, was sent to Vietnam, leaving Nati alone in Madrid. At some point of that year Leonard went MIA in Vietnam, and soon presumed dead. Seems like not long after the news of Leonard's tragic demise were received the money stopped coming, and Nati's behavior became even more erratic and unpredictable. She was eventually arrested for drugging a teen girl and sexually abusing her, a crime for which she was sent to the Ventas Prison for Women. She spent eight months there.

During her time in prison she became an inmate most of the women there avoided; Nati was too volatile, too unpredictable (except for the fact that she'd resort to aggression sooner or later) and always trying to smuggle alcohol inside. In one occasion she and other two inmates ended up in the infirmary after a disastrous attempt to produce moonshine; their drink contained enough methanol to poison them. Nati and one of the two women survived. The other one died.

She was often getting into scuffles there, especially taking into account the nature of the crime she'd been sent there for. One night another inmate made fun of Nati's deceased African-American husband, using a pejorative racial slur. Nati reacted by walking up to that woman and smacking her with a heavy oil can so hard that the woman needed several stitches on her face.

After her release from prison in early 1969 Nati moved in with one of her friends -a former prostitute- and her boyfriend. It's not clear if this couple was taking care of Nati's children while she was in prison, or if the children were sent to the US to live with Leonard's family. Soon after Nati was kicked out of that residence, after she had been caught stealing from them; this friend's name was Lucía, and she was the owner of the golden medallion that would later be found between Neti's teeth. Apparently, Nati had found a job at a club, but she was fired soon after for being frequently caught drunk at work.

From this point up until her death six months later, Nati's movements become unclear. One night of late February a police patrol car found her lying unconscious and bloodied on the sidewalk at El Retiro Park. Someone had subjected her to a savage beating. The policemen drove Nati to a hospital and, after she received treatment, they tried to convince her to fill an assault report. However Nati -concussed and with her lips grotesquely swollen- refused to do so. She also claimed that she didn't know the person who had attacked her. The policemen didn't believe that, and suspected that she had been beaten up by a pimp or a patron.

According to other sex workers, Nati had spent the spring and summer of 1969 resuming her routine of trying to get black USAF soldiers to pay for her services. However, she had also expressed some concerns about her own safety, confiding to her friends that she felt 'followed'. She didn't seem to explain to them further about these feelings though.

Nati was seen alive for the last time at around 4:00 AM of August 12th, 1969. Whatever happened to her between that moment and the morning of the following day when the firefighter discovered her body was a complete mystery. By early 1970 the investigation had stalled and the case became cold. Ironically, it would take one particularly cold night about one year later to warm the case back into life...



Thugs and Knives



Madrid, Spain
Saturday, January 30th, 1971


7th Barbieri Street, early morning hours. The Piloto Bar was full of patrons, as it was habitual on weekend nights. Everyone was having a good time on that gelid winter night under the warm roof of the bar. Patrons drank, smoked cigarettes and chatted with their friends, probably about football. Others would bet rounds of beers among their friends over a game of table football. A barman in his 50's named Pedro Herraiz was the owner of the bar. That busy night the 32-years old waiter Álvaro Coque was working alongside with him, as well as another waiter, a kitchen porter and the cook.

It was a busy, but peaceful night until that guy and his friends walked into the bar.

His name was José Antonio Sánchez Gil, but everyone around knew him by the nickname 'Pepe el Guapo' ('Handsome Pepe'). His good looks and his success with women made his nickname self-explanatory. He was a tall, intimidating man who, along with his friends, regularly terrorized the neighborhood. The 29-years old Pepe was a ruthless pimp with many girls under his 'protection services'. He used that fearsome reputation to drink as much as he pleased at the local bars without paying a cent. Standing up to him would mean having Pepe and his friends doing a number to the bar, trashing the place and assaulting the staff.

Pepe ordered whiskey, as he always did. And he invited his friends to drink, as he always did. Everyone at the Piloto Bar knew that standing up to Pepe was a very bad idea. However, that night Pepe made a big mistake. It would be his last one. Apparently, Mr. Herraiz had stood behind the counter looking at Pepe as he drank, not hiding his animosity towards that thug. Then Pepe, probably feeling challenged, decided to cap the night off with the ultimate humiliation; he invited Herraiz to drink a glass of his best whiskey. A drink which, of course, Pepe had zero intentions to pay for.

The 'invitation' was met with a counter-offer from Herraiz; Pepe and his friends should leave the bar immediately and never come back. Herraiz had had enough, and that drink suggestion had been the straw that broke the camel's back. Pepe then grabbed an empty beer bottle from the counter and smashed it against Herraiz's forehead, dazzling him. Almost immediately Pepe jumped over the counter and started beating up Herraiz; his friends soon joined the beating, and the floored Herraiz was at the receiving end of a brutal barrage of kicks and stomps.

The Piloto's staff wasted no time; they all grabbed ham knives from the kitchen and rushed back out to help their boss. Pepe and his gang pulled out their switchblades and a violent knife fight ensued. It didn't seem that things would go well for the staff, as they were being outnumbered by the thugs. The cook suffered a severe stab wound in one of his buttocks. But the waiter Coque managed to catch Pepe off-guard (the criminal was distracted fighting someone else) and drove the long knife blade into his ribcage, slicing part of his heart. Pepe collapsed almost immediately.

Probably emboldened after seeing Pepe finally being at the wrong end of a knife blade, many of the patrons that night at the Piloto bar joined the fight too, siding with the staff. Pepe's gang was now overwhelmed with punches, beer bottles and even bar stools. Around this time several police officers reached the bar. All except for a couple of Pepe's friends managed to escape the beating and flee running down the street. These who couldn't had to be rescued by the police officers; the scuffle and the agitation were so intense that the officers had to use their batons to dissuade the patrons from continuing their attack on these thugs.

Herraiz, who had been badly beaten, was taken to hospital, and so was the cook because of his stab wound. Both men eventually made a full recovery. Pepe, on the other hand, was pronounced dead at hospital. His violent death surprised no one, and saddened no one either. In fact, locals joked around afterwards noticing the irony behind the fact that 'Handsome Pepe' had died, literally, from a broken heart. It seems that the man who put an end to his life, the waiter Álvaro Coque (a husband and a father of two kids who had no criminal record), faced minimal or no charges.

That night the police officers made some arrests. Obviously the thugs that didn't manage to escape were arrested, as well as the most aggressive patrons that had still some fight in them. But they also arrested a patron in particular, one who during the melee had been seen trying to not to get involved and leaving the scene discreetly.

His name was Gregorio Ávila Sotoca, more known locally as 'Goyo'. The reasons he had tried his best to avoid the fight had nothing to do with ethics or pacifism; Goyo was well known by Madrid's LE at the time. At 28, he was a mugger, thief, and a drug dealer. But he was known especially as a pimp. He had been the subject of a search and arrest warrant for the previous six months due to a string of robberies he was a suspect of, and had spent that time trying to keep a low profile to fly under LE's radar.
A picture of Gregorio Ávila Sotoca, alias 'Goyo'

Goyo was placed on a cell at the main police station -something he wasn't unfamiliar with. The police chief on command of Goyo's arrest that night was a man named Manuel Lista. Mr. Lista was a tall and big man who, in spite of his intimidating appearance, never used physical force against any detainee -back in the 1970's Spain police brutality was the norm rather than the exception, especially when the detainees were regular offenders like Goyo was. Instead, Lista preferred a slow and patient method of interrogation; without even raising his voice (looking almost fatherly, in fact) he would come up with the same questions over and over, staring into the offender's eyes. He would also question the detainees at early morning hours, waking them up several times a night.

That weekend Lista was reportedly trying to make Goyo confess to pimping women and robbery charges. However (according to him and his subordinates) something extremely unexpected happened.

Goyo finally broke down and said; "It's about that Tinaja Girl, right? Well, I killed her".

Why would Goyo supposedly admit that is not clear. Apparently, he blurted that out after Lista had asked him many times "to start talking", but no one at the station expected him to have anything to do with Nati. Goyo told them that the night of August 11th, 1969 he was very drunk and had met Nati at a café-bar. They drank some more there and then Goyo proposed Nati to go to his place, to which she refused. Then he drove her in his car -a red Renault 4L- to the abandoned house where Nati's dead body was later found. Goyo reportedly told Lista and his men that once there they 'couldn't reach and agreement and Nati started nagging and making fun of him'. This enraged Goyo, who described to Lista how he put both hands on Nati's throat and squeezed until she passed out. After that Goyo slapped her face, trying to wake her up, until he realized that Nati was dead. Finally, Goyo stripped her naked, took her money and her jewelry and hid her body inside the big tinaja.

Goyo also described how he was so full of anxiety when leaving that his car gazed the gate's frame, scratching the bodywork. By the morning he had stayed at one of his girl's apartment, and Goyo told her he was leaving later that day 'for a road trip'. He told her he was leaving to León (340 kilometers, or some 210 miles, northwest from Madrid) for a few days. However, Goyo moved into the apartment of another of the prostitutes he pimped. He later called the first girl and told her he was in León, although he hadn't left Madrid. He asked her if someone 'had asked about him lately'. Goyo returned from his 'trip' a few days after Nati's body was found.



An international affair?



With that unexpected confession Goyo thereby became the main suspect for the mysterious murder of Nati Romero, the Tinaja Girl.

When the word that Goyo had been arrested as a suspect for murder spread around, many girls mustered enough courage to speak up to LE about Goyo. It turned out that Goyo was a sadistic and violent pimp whose girls feared him enough to not to report even the most gruesome abuse. LE considered the girls' statements as very likely, as apparently they were quite consistent. In one particularly disturbing statement, Goyo had locked up one of the girls in his apartment and beat her up very badly. The girl managed to endure the beating, thinking that that would be all. But then Goyo had pulled out a pocketknife; this girl feared so much for her life that she jumped from the window (a 2nd floor) onto the street, and then hid under a car while a deranged Goyo screamed that he was going 'to rip her heart out' while looking for her. This girl had been found later that day by a police officer, who asked her who had attacked her. She insisted that a gang of teenage boys had jumped on her to take her money, never mentioning Goyo.

What is more; Goyo had a big collection of 'tools' at home (he called them 'his toys') that he would use to discipline the girls. According to the women who came forward after his arrest, Goyo would administer, in his own words, 'pain or pleasure, depending of what the girl in particular required'. The full nature of these tools is never specified, though. A total of 54 women had come forward to tell LE what kind of monster Goyo was.

Thanks to these reports, Lista and his team though they got a solid suspect in custody. It matched what they already knew about Goyo beforehand. He was often involved in street fights and had a reputation of being quick to pull out his knife when challenged or threatened. He was a very violent man, and the girls he extorted were absolutely terrified of him.

Goyo was brought to trial. And then, when everyone thought that he'd be facing a long time in prison for the murder of Nati Romero, the whole case fell apart.

First, Goyo denied ever having confessed killing Nati. He told the judge that he had been coerced into a confession and that he had been physically tortured.

This wouldn't have gone further if not for what the defense came up with. Goyo had stated many times (according to the questioning with Lista) that he had used both hands to strangle Nati. However, the forensic doctor that had performed the autopsy had noticed that it just couldn't have been that way; whoever strangled Nati did so using only his right hand; the killer had used his left hand to pin Nati's right arm to the ground, making her more defenseless. Also, whoever killed her had hands much bigger than Goyo's (who was an average sized man).

That wasn't all; Goyo said that after noticing that Nati had passed out he smacked her face several times trying to make her regain consciousness. But again, this didn't fit the forensic findings. Nati's facial injuries didn't suggest a few slaps in the face; they suggested a brutal beating, probably punched or knee'd several times in the face. Also, the facial injuries happened, in all likelihood, before being strangled, not after.

The scenario provided by the forensic doctor and his team didn't suggest a quick murder like the one described by Goyo's confession. Nati had put up a tremendous fight against her attacker, reason why the killer had to pin Nati's right arm to the ground. The high amount of defensive wounds found in her body supported this scenario. If she panicked when she was attacked, she certainly did not freeze in fear.

The confession is one of the darkest spots in this case. Manuel Lista was said to have never engaged in physical torture -which Goyo accused him of. However, his questioning methods could be considered psychological torture, at least nowadays. It's stated, though, that when Goyo was finally transferred from the station's cell to jail he had gone from 'dangerous hardened criminal' to a 'sobbing little boy' in the matter of a weekend.

Because of the lack of evidence and the forensic findings pointing at a different story, Goyo was declared non guilty of the murder of Natividad Romero. This didn't mean he walked free though; he was sentenced to five years in prison for his pending pimping and theft charges. Goyo's lawyer appealed to the Supreme Court about his sentence; the appeal was rejected.

Meanwhile, Nati's killer was still unidentified and likely at large. The Crime Brigade handed the case to the superintendent Antonio Viqueira. Viqueira (1916-1998) was a highly esteemed detective with an impressive resume; in 1958 he was behind the team that managed to catch the first official spree killers in Spain, José María Jarabo. He had also cracked several cult-related crime cases in the 1960's and 1970's, as well as apprehending a serial rapist who targeted prostitutes in the 1960's, using a clever strategy with the collaboration of the sex workers. Because of his brilliant career he was often invited for talks at Universities aimed at Crime Science students. Reportedly, he used to explain to these students that 'not only dead bodies talk; the objects found in the crime scene talk too'. And also that 'simplicity, along with logic, brings the truth to light'.

Viqueira put his method to work in the Tinaja Girl case. Following his own experience, he paid attention to the objects found at the crime scene. Let's remember a particularly unusual item found near the tinaja were Nati ended up in; the matchbox.

This matchbox was traced to a nightclub in Raleigh, North Carolina, in the United States. There was no way to buy it in Spanish territory, and locals would buy matches from Spanish companies. USAF airmen didn't frequent the abandoned house Nati was found at, making extremely unlikely that the matchbox had been there before Nati's murder. There were just two likely scenarios; a) Given her involvement with USAF African-American airmen -let's remember she had married one-, the matchbox belonged to Nati and b) it belonged to the killer.

The Torrejón de Ardoz Air Base became the target of Viqueira's attention. He believed that the killer had ties to there. More so because according to the girl whose flat Goyo had hidden at, one time she casually discussed the Tinaja Girl case with him (whose investigation was often making headlines then) and Goyo had expressed; 'I think the Yanks did it, but don't go around talking about it'.

In fact, Viqueira's inquires eventually led him to an USAF airman. He was known for patronizing prostitutes, was a physically large man... and he was also African-American. It seems that Viqueira managed to gather a significant amount of evidence against him, but the airman was never prosecuted. Some have speculated that neither American nor Spanish authorities wanted the case to move forward.

A few words about US-Spain relations at the time. In December of 1959 Dwight Eisenhower became the first American president to make an official visit to Spain -some ten years earlier Truman had expressed his hatred towards the Francoist Regime, vowing to never visit Spain for as long as Franco ruled the country. Spain wouldn't receive the visit of another US president until October of 1970, when Richard Nixon met with Francisco Franco and the Monarchy at the Moncloa Palace. John F. Kennedy and Lyndon B. Johnson had avoided visiting Spain while they were in office; both were vocal about their opposition to the Francoist dictatorship. US-Spain international relationship was not at its best during that time, and it started to improve slowly with Nixon. There had been recently another incident that had created a conflict between both countries, creating a sense of distrust among Spaniards towards Americans; the 1966 Palomares incident, whose social consequences had an impact even up to 1986, year in which a public referendum was held in Spain about remaining in NATO -Spain had joined in 1982, but not without a significant opposition from a good percentage of the Spanish people.

By early 1970's both countries had improved their diplomatic relationship significantly, a trend that would later continue with Gerald Ford (who visited Spain in May of 1975, six months before Franco's death). Because of this, some believed that the Tinaja Girl case couldn't move forward. However, this was not the first case Viqueira had to accuse an American citizen of a serious crime; in August of 1960 an American woman named Mildred A. H. had rushed her 22-month old daughter Marcella H. to the Torrenjón de Ardoz Hospital with severe head injuries. She said that the little girl had fallen from her bed. Unfortunately, Marcella succumbed to her injuries that night. An investigation led by Viqueira ended up proving that Marcella's injuries had been caused after she had sustained a beating at the hands of her own father, Allen W. H., USAF sergeant stationed at Torrejón de Ardoz Air Base. Both husband and wife were arrested for the murder of the little Marcella; Allen as the culprit and Mildred as accomplice. Allen W. H. faced a court martial and was sentenced to prison. He ended up at the Leavenworth Penitentiary, in Kansas, where his sentence included penal labor. Apparently, the day after he murdered his daughter Allen had showed up to work, and his coworkers didn't notice anything odd or amiss; he looked absolutely calm and collected.



Aftermath



Whatever the true reason may have been, the African-American airman was never arrested. It could have been because the evidence gathered by Viqueira was not enough to warrant an arrest, but there's not much information about this.

Gregorio 'Goyo' Ávila Sotoca has been the only person to ever face trial for the murder of Natividad 'Nati' Romero Rodríguez. Besides the African-American airman, no other suspect has come up in subsequent investigations.

Once all the forensic work was done, Nati was buried on August 25th, 1969 at her hometown of Siles. While her family was very saddened about her early dead, they said that they were not surprised; Nati had been a very difficult person since a very young age, and was a matter of time before she would end up dead. She lived very fast, and died very young.
Another picture of Nati

Goyo Ávila Sotoca passed away in September of 1998. He was 55-years old.

The case remained cold until it expired in August 13th, 1989 due to statute of limitations. The investigation was abandoned more than 30 years ago.





Some sources (Spanish)


https://criminalia.es/asesino/el-crimen-de-la-tinaja/
http://elojocritico.info/los-casos-del-comisario-antonio-viqueira-y-ii/
http://manuelcarballal.blogspot.com/2008/07/los-casos-del-comisario-viqueira.html
http://psicokillers.com/el-crimen-de-la-tinaja/
https://espaciodeindrianiblog2.blogspot.com/2016/09/el-crimen-de-la-tinaja.html
https://www.libertaddigital.com/opinion/fin-de-semana/el-crimen-de-la-tinaja-1276230125.html
http://manoquemecelacuna.blogspot.com/2017/03/el-crimen-de-la-tinaja.html
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2020.05.04 01:38 EleventhTry [EVENT] A Digital Future

Federal Communications Commission

445 12th Street SW, Washington, D.C.
 
Although the United States is home to several, if not most of the world's largest information corporations and Americans being one of the most avid users in the world of the internet, we lack behind severely among other OCED nations in several sectors. Notably, millions of Americans lack access to high-speed internet, and in some places, internet at all. As the arrival of globalization and the dominance of the information-age unravels, there is an ever increasing need for Americans to be online. A report by the Federal Communications Commission in 2022 shows that roughly 92.8% of all Americans are connected to the internet, although there are several million in this number who do not have access to high-speed internet. Although having updated the definition of broadband in 2015, the Federal Communications Commission has again called for a review of this definition among other existing policies on the books. New Chairman Jessica Rosenworcel to many is a breath of fresh air to several critics of the FCC, as well as to economic analysts, information companies, and middle-class Americans. However, her bold stances do render her as a threat to many internet providers not seeking the best interests of Americans.
 

5G

  Bringing to the city of Seattle a limited 5G commercial network was CenturyLink which had started plans for an implementation of this in 2018. Although, only about 1/3rd of the city is covered by the network, with CenturyLink promising to get the rest of the city covered by the end of 2024. The success of this large leap has showed the possibility of spreading further 5G networks into larger American cities, but that will have to wait for the future. Although, CenturyLink is not alone in the pursuit of 5G networks, as AT&T, Verizon, and Frontier Communications have promised the arrival of a 5G network in the city's with their HQ. All 4 companies have announced plans towards implementing national 5G coverage by 2036 with 3/5ths of the United States to be fully covered with 5G access by 2030.
 

Fiber

  Although hopes were cut for many when Google announced it would no longer expand Google Fibre, this has been recently reversed. CEO of Google Inc. Sundar Pichai announced after the arrival of the 5G network in Seattle that this would be reversed, as Google put out invitations across the country to several metropolitan areas to deploy the fiber. Google has begun deployment of cable in these cities, which will fully connect their respective metropolitan areas by 2026.
 
  • Dallas-Fort Worth, TX
  • San Jose, CA
  • Palo Alto, CA
  • San Antonio, TX
  • San Diego, CA
  • Seattle, WA
  • Portland, OR
  • Houston, TX
  • Boston, MA
  • Nashville, TN
  • Atlanta, GA
  • Las Vegas, NV
  • Waco, TX
  • Toledo, OH
  • Washington, District of Columbia + New Columbia
  • Raleigh, NC
  • Lincoln, NE
  • Miami, FL
  • Des Moines, IA
  • Tallahassee, FL
 
This massive expansion will launch Google into being a much larger Internet Service Provider across the United States. Similarly, AT&T has announced their intentions to make further strides in the deployment of cable, planning to lay around 1,440 cumulative miles of fiber in the states of Iowa, Indiana, Illinois, Missouri, Kentucky, Ohio, Arkansas, Tennessee, Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, and West Virginia. This ambitious plan to bring cable has been funded by both AT&T and the cities that it will run through and connect. Existing plans to complete this put 2029 as the end date. Helping to combat the costs, all 12 of the recently mentioned states will be issuing grants for the deployment of the fiber cable, at a total cost of $19 billion. This is to be received from newly imposed state taxes on sodas and alcohol, and a newly leveraged nation-wide federal tax rate for cigarettes to be listed:
 
  • Helping to fund this package, the federal tax rate for cigarettes will be raised from $1.01 per pack to $1.42 per pack.
  • Tennessee will raise its tax on beer from $1.17 per gallon to $1.32 per gallon.
  • West Virginia and Ohio will raise its tax on beer from $0.18 per gallon to $0.74 per gallon
  • Wisconsin and Missouri will raise its tax on beer from $0.06 per gallon to $0.64 per gallon.
  • Michigan will raise its tax on beer from $0.20 per gallon to $0.85 per gallon.
  • Indiana will raise its tax on beer from $0.12 per gallon to $0.68 per gallon. State-wide institution of a one-cent-per-ounce soda tax.
  • Pennsylvania will raise its tax on beer from $0.08 per gallon to $0.72 per gallon.
  • Arkansas will raise its tax on beer from $0.34 per gallon to $.0.99 per gallon. State-wide institution of a one-cent-per-ounce soda tax.
  • Illinois will raise its tax on beer from $0.23 per gallon to $0.89 per gallon. State-wide institution of a one-cent-per-ounce soda tax.
  • Kentucky will raise its tax on beer from $0.78 per gallon to $1.24 per gallon. State-wide institution of a one-cent-per-ounce soda tax.
  • Ohio will raise its tax on beer from $0.18 per gallon to $0.68 per gallon. State-wide institution of a one-cent-per-ounce soda tax.
  • Iowa will raise its tax on beer from $0.19 per gallon to $0.70 per gallon. State-wide institution of a one-cent-per-ounce soda tax.
[M] Going off of this%20(2).png)
 

FCC

 
Chairman of the Federal Communications Commission Jessica Rosenworcel publicly announced changes to existing guidelines following a 2021 Broadband Progress Report. These changes will move existing required download speeds for classification as broadband from downloads speeds of 25 Mbps and upload speeds of 3 Mbps to download speeds of 40 Mbps and upload speeds to 5 Mbps. Rules regarding net neutrality will be congressionally set to as they were in the Open Internet Order back in 2010 following an act proposed by Representative Kennedy III, (D-MA)
 
submitted by EleventhTry to GlobalPowers [link] [comments]


2020.05.03 04:01 willbruce2 I think my house is occupied by someone who is no longer living #1

So to give a little back story, at the time, my wife and I were just dating and we were moving out of a small apartment and decided to go ahead and buy a house instead of paying 300-400 more a month for an apartment than we would a mortgage.
So we finally find the house that is perfect for us. Nothing fancy, but also a fairly newer, maybe 20 years old or so. We do all of the paperwork and bam! we are homeowners. One of my biggest things I told the real estate agent is that I don't want to live in a house where someone has committed suicide. I'm fine with someone having died there, but suicide is just a whole different level of nope for me.
About 3 weeks after we move in our new neighbor comes over and tells us that she had a key to the house from the previous owners. (To dispel any thoughts, no this isn't about creepy neighbors. We hit the jackpot with our neighbors). She gives me the key and I introduce myself, and my wife was in the shower. My neighbor "C" then says "it's a shame what happened to Anna. It just breaks my heart". My mind immediately goes into "what the fuck mode".
I ask her what she means, and she looks surprised and says "oh no, they didn't tell you?" I asked her politely to please tell me that no one committed suicide in this house. Well she didn't, thank Odin. She did however pass away after complications during child birth. This was news to both my wife and I, who I told later about this.
Sorry for the length of that back story, but here's the weird part. My wife and I have lived in this house since 2013, so this November will make 7 years. One day we were sitting on the couch, watching tv. The way our living room is set up, the couch faces the fire place (naturally) and is backed up to a wall that. On the other side of that wall is our stairs, past those is the breakfast nook then the kitchen.
From the living room, you can see all the way through to the end of the kitchen where are cabinets are. As we are sitting there watching tv, all of the pans in the cabinet fall to the floor. I always have my pistol with me, even in my house. I put my hand on my pistol and looked at my wife, who in turn was looking at me with a terrified look on her face. Now we chose this house not only for the house, but also because it was in a neighborhood where about every other house was a Raleigh Police Officer, Sheriff's Deputy, or prior service military. With that, neither of us doubted the safety of our neighborhood.
Before I get up, I turn my head to look through the stair rails into the kitchen. From my angle, I couldn't see the floor. I told my wife to stay there and I got up to go look. Before I ever left the living room, I asked my wife if she for certain heard the pots fall out of the cabinet. She responded "yes, why?". I told her to get up and come look. We both just stood there for about 30 seconds staring into the kitchen, where there wasn't a single pot or pan on the floor. I felt the chills go down my spine (just like they are now just typing this) and I took a deep breath and walked into the kitchen thinking that maybe they had all rolled/scooted behind the corner that leads to the downstairs bathroom.
When I get in there, literally nothing out of place or anything on the floor that shouldn't be. Since this incident, we have both heard it 4 times together and I've heard it once when I was alone and she's heard it twice while she's been at home alone. I'm military so I'm gone a lot with deployments or work. There are other things that have happened in our house that I will list later, but this is the one that creeps me out the second most. Now, we both just ask Anna to pick them up please and that we respect her being in our home. But... there's also a male in our house, and I only know this because I've heard him talking when I was home alone.
If you guys would like to read about some of the other things that have happened in our house, just let me know, and I promise I'll make sure they're shorter than this one.
submitted by willbruce2 to AllThingsHaunted [link] [comments]


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